PCIFIC Esports vs Forsaken - EMEA Masters
Jun 10, 18:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
PCIFIC EsportsForsaken
FastTree
· free model
PCIFIC Esports27.5%
Forsaken72.5%
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Head-to-Head & Form
PCIFIC EsportsElo Rating
1538
Tournament Record
3-4
(4-5)
Overall Record
42W - 39L (51.9%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
44.8%
VS
ForsakenElo Rating
1418
Tournament Record
0-4
(1-5)
Overall Record
95W - 78L (54.9%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
55.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
PCIFIC Esports +200
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Forsaken.
Impact
41.6%
Counts for Forsaken
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
PCIFIC Esports +75
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Forsaken.
Impact
23.5%
Counts for Forsaken
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
PCIFIC Esports +180 Elo
Impact
8%
PCIFIC Esports
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Forsaken +18.5%
Impact
5.6%
Forsaken
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
PCIFIC Esports +23.8% expected WR
Impact
5%
PCIFIC Esports
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
PCIFIC Esports +0.296
Impact
3.2%
PCIFIC Esports
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
PCIFIC Esports +92
Impact
2.9%
PCIFIC Esports
8
Win Rate
Forsaken +3.1% WR
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward PCIFIC Esports.
Impact
2.6%
Counts for PCIFIC Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Opponent Avg Elo
PCIFIC Esports +0
Impact
1.9%
PCIFIC Esports
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
PCIFIC Esports +20% WR
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Forsaken.
Impact
1.8%
Counts for Forsaken
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
PCIFIC Esports
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Forsaken
RED
Higher damage output
Better dragon control