EMEA MastersGroups
Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - EMEA Masters
Jun 12, 18:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
ForsakenKarmine Corp Blue
FastTree
· free model
Forsaken18.7%
Karmine Corp Blue81.3%
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Head-to-Head & Form
ForsakenElo Rating
1418
Tournament Record
0-4
(1-5)
Overall Record
95W - 78L (54.9%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
38.6%
VS
Karmine Corp BlueElo Rating
1700
Tournament Record
4-1
(7-4)
Overall Record
136W - 84L (61.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
61.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp Blue +322 Elo
Impact
26.4%
Karmine Corp Blue
2
Head-to-Head History
Karmine Corp Blue +22.7% WR
Impact
11.8%
Karmine Corp Blue
3
Opponent Avg Elo
Forsaken +0
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
10.8%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Karmine Corp Blue +0.308
Impact
10.8%
Karmine Corp Blue
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Karmine Corp Blue +36.5% expected WR
Impact
10.4%
Karmine Corp Blue
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp Blue +3.8%
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Forsaken.
Impact
9.3%
Counts for Forsaken
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp Blue +618
Impact
5.9%
Karmine Corp Blue
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Karmine Corp Blue +83
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Forsaken.
Impact
5.4%
Counts for Forsaken
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Karmine Corp Blue +104
Impact
4.2%
Karmine Corp Blue
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Karmine Corp Blue +453
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Forsaken.
Impact
2.6%
Counts for Forsaken
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Forsaken
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Karmine Corp Blue
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)