LCPPlay-Ins

CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - LCP

Aug 14, 09:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
CTBC Flying Oyster
MVK Esports
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
CTBC Flying Oyster46.5% MVK Esports53.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
CTBC Flying Oyster
Elo Rating 1564
Tournament Record 7-3 (19-16)
Overall Record 121W - 86L (58.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 59.7%
VS
MVK Esports
Elo Rating 1541
Tournament Record 4-4 (13-15)
Overall Record 43W - 51L (45.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 40.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors MVK Esports. CTBC Flying Oyster leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors MVK Esports anyway. The rows below are the CTBC Flying Oyster edges the model weighs against, not reasons MVK Esports is ahead.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
CTBC Flying Oyster +20
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports.
Impact 45.8%
Counts for MVK Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
CTBC Flying Oyster +12.7% WR
Impact 8.8%
CTBC Flying Oyster
3
History Depth
CTBC Flying Oyster +0
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports.
Impact 7.7%
Counts for MVK Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
CTBC Flying Oyster +428
Impact 5.6%
CTBC Flying Oyster
5
Head-to-Head History
CTBC Flying Oyster +19.3% WR
Impact 4.2%
CTBC Flying Oyster
6
Opponent Avg Elo
CTBC Flying Oyster +0.082
Impact 4.2%
CTBC Flying Oyster
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
CTBC Flying Oyster +0.082
Impact 3.9%
CTBC Flying Oyster
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
CTBC Flying Oyster +87
Impact 3.4%
CTBC Flying Oyster
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
CTBC Flying Oyster +183
Impact 3.4%
CTBC Flying Oyster
10
Elo Rating
CTBC Flying Oyster +34 Elo
Impact 3.3%
CTBC Flying Oyster
Scouting Report
CTBC Flying Oyster BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
MVK Esports RED
Well-rounded profile