LCPPlayoffs

CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - LCP

Aug 20, 09:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
CTBC Flying Oyster
MVK Esports
FastTree · free model
CTBC Flying Oyster58.0% MVK Esports42.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
CTBC Flying Oyster
Elo Rating 1564
Tournament Record 7-3 (19-16)
Overall Record 121W - 86L (58.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 60.0%
VS
MVK Esports
Elo Rating 1489
Tournament Record 4-4 (13-15)
Overall Record 37W - 44L (45.7%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 40.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
CTBC Flying Oyster +459
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports.
Impact 20.1%
Counts for MVK Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
CTBC Flying Oyster +42
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports.
Impact 18.5%
Counts for MVK Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Recent Win Rate Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
MVK Esports +20% WR
MVK Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact 10.1%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Head-to-Head History
CTBC Flying Oyster +20% WR
Impact 9.6%
CTBC Flying Oyster
5
Win Streak
MVK Esports +2 games
MVK Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact 9.1%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
CTBC Flying Oyster +0.125
Impact 7.9%
CTBC Flying Oyster
7
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
CTBC Flying Oyster +15.6% expected WR
Impact 6.2%
CTBC Flying Oyster
8
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
CTBC Flying Oyster +64
Impact 6.2%
CTBC Flying Oyster
9
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
MVK Esports +68
MVK Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact 4.1%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
CTBC Flying Oyster +164
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports.
Impact 3.4%
Counts for MVK Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
CTBC Flying Oyster BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
MVK Esports RED
Well-rounded profile