LCPPlayoffs

Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - LCP

Aug 23, 09:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Team Secret Whales
CTBC Flying Oyster
FastTree · free model
Team Secret Whales69.0% CTBC Flying Oyster31.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Team Secret Whales
Elo Rating 1700
Tournament Record 6-1 (18-4)
Overall Record 119W - 68L (63.6%)
Current Streak 9W
H2H Win Rate 66.0%
VS
CTBC Flying Oyster
Elo Rating 1564
Tournament Record 7-3 (19-16)
Overall Record 121W - 86L (58.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 34.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Secret Whales +204 Elo
Impact 19.5%
Team Secret Whales
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Secret Whales +495
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact 17.7%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Secret Whales +26.4% expected WR
Impact 10.1%
Team Secret Whales
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
CTBC Flying Oyster +4.4%
Impact 9%
CTBC Flying Oyster
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Secret Whales +0
Impact 7.9%
Team Secret Whales
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Secret Whales +633
Impact 7.2%
Team Secret Whales
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
CTBC Flying Oyster +0.043
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Secret Whales.
Impact 7.1%
Counts for Team Secret Whales The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Secret Whales +31.9% WR
Impact 6.1%
Team Secret Whales
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Secret Whales +98
Impact 6%
Team Secret Whales
10
Win Rate
Team Secret Whales +5.2% WR
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact 4.3%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Secret Whales BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
CTBC Flying Oyster RED
Well-rounded profile