LCPPlayoffs
Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - LCP
Aug 23, 09:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Team Secret WhalesCTBC Flying Oyster


FastTree
· free model
Team Secret Whales69.0%
CTBC Flying Oyster31.0%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Team Secret WhalesElo Rating
1700
Tournament Record
6-1
(18-4)
Overall Record
119W - 68L (63.6%)
Current Streak
9W
H2H Win Rate
66.0%
VS
CTBC Flying OysterElo Rating
1564
Tournament Record
7-3
(19-16)
Overall Record
121W - 86L (58.5%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
34.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Secret Whales +204 Elo
Impact
19.5%
Team Secret Whales
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Secret Whales +495
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact
17.7%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Secret Whales +26.4% expected WR
Impact
10.1%
Team Secret Whales
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
CTBC Flying Oyster +4.4%
Impact
9%
CTBC Flying Oyster
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Secret Whales +0
Impact
7.9%
Team Secret Whales
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Secret Whales +633
Impact
7.2%
Team Secret Whales
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
CTBC Flying Oyster +0.043
CTBC Flying Oyster leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Secret Whales.
Impact
7.1%
Counts for Team Secret Whales
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
Team Secret Whales +31.9% WR
Impact
6.1%
Team Secret Whales
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Secret Whales +98
Impact
6%
Team Secret Whales
10
Win Rate
Team Secret Whales +5.2% WR
Team Secret Whales leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CTBC Flying Oyster.
Impact
4.3%
Counts for CTBC Flying Oyster
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Team Secret Whales
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
CTBC Flying Oyster
RED
Well-rounded profile