LCPPlayoffs

GAM Esports vs MVK Esports - LCP

Aug 22, 09:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
GAM Esports
MVK Esports
FastTree · free model
GAM Esports56.9% MVK Esports43.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
GAM Esports
Elo Rating 1417
Tournament Record 3-4 (12-11)
Overall Record 97W - 100L (49.2%)
Current Streak 9L
H2H Win Rate 52.4%
VS
MVK Esports
Elo Rating 1541
Tournament Record 4-4 (13-15)
Overall Record 43W - 51L (45.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 47.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
GAM Esports +14
Impact 27.1%
GAM Esports
2
Elo Rating
MVK Esports +186 Elo
Impact 17.1%
MVK Esports
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
GAM Esports +284
Impact 16.1%
GAM Esports
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
GAM Esports +7.1%
Impact 11.1%
GAM Esports
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
MVK Esports +24.5% expected WR
Impact 7.8%
MVK Esports
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
MVK Esports +0.005
Impact 5.8%
MVK Esports
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
MVK Esports +88
Impact 4.5%
MVK Esports
8
Head-to-Head History
GAM Esports +4.8% WR
GAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports.
Impact 4%
Counts for MVK Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Win Rate
GAM Esports +3.5% WR
Impact 2.6%
GAM Esports
10
Win Streak
MVK Esports +6 games
Impact 1%
MVK Esports
Scouting Report
GAM Esports BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
MVK Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Better dragon control