NACLPlayoffs
Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - NACL
Aug 21, 00:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Maryville UniversityDorado Gaming


FastTree
· free model
Maryville University60.8%
Dorado Gaming39.2%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Maryville UniversityElo Rating
1454
Tournament Record
4-2
(12-10)
Overall Record
37W - 27L (57.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
60.8%
VS
Dorado GamingElo Rating
1314
Tournament Record
0-2
(0-5)
Overall Record
22W - 36L (37.9%)
Current Streak
5L
H2H Win Rate
39.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Maryville University +221
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dorado Gaming.
Impact
26.6%
Counts for Dorado Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Maryville University +210 Elo
Impact
21.3%
Maryville University
3
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Maryville University +210
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Dorado Gaming.
Impact
12.6%
Counts for Dorado Gaming
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Maryville University +27% expected WR
Impact
9.3%
Maryville University
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Maryville University +126
Impact
7.6%
Maryville University
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Maryville University +15.2%
Impact
6.7%
Maryville University
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Maryville University +0
Impact
4.3%
Maryville University
8
Head-to-Head History
Maryville University +21.5% WR
Impact
4.1%
Maryville University
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Maryville University +291
Impact
2.2%
Maryville University
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Maryville University +463
Impact
2.1%
Maryville University
Scouting Report
Maryville University
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control
Dorado Gaming
RED
Well-rounded profile