NACLPlayoffs

Contingent Esports vs NRG - NACL

Aug 21, 21:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Contingent Esports
NRG
FastTree · free model
Contingent Esports11.5% NRG88.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
Contingent Esports
Elo Rating 1355
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 11W - 15L (42.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 27.7%
VS
NRG
Elo Rating 1442
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 34W - 19L (64.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 72.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NRG +744
Impact 21.8%
NRG
2
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
NRG +367
Impact 15.2%
NRG
3
Opponent Avg Elo
Contingent Esports +0
Contingent Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact 10.7%
Counts for NRG The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
NRG +36
Impact 8%
NRG
5
Win Rate
NRG +21.8% WR
Impact 7.4%
NRG
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
NRG +805
Impact 5.3%
NRG
7
Head-to-Head History
NRG +44.5% WR
Impact 3.5%
NRG
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
NRG +62
Impact 2.8%
NRG
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Contingent Esports +38
Contingent Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact 2.8%
Counts for NRG The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NRG +17.8% expected WR
Impact 2.7%
NRG
Scouting Report
Contingent Esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
NRG RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control