NACLPlayoffs

Winthrop University vs Cupid Esports - NACL

Winthrop University Winthrop University2-2
VS
3-0Cupid Esports Cupid Esports
Sep 4, 21:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Winthrop University
Cupid Esports
FastTree · free model
Winthrop University31.7% Cupid Esports68.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Winthrop University
Elo Rating 1432
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 53W - 62L (46.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 37.7%
VS
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1528
Tournament Record 3-0 (7-2)
Overall Record 14W - 5L (73.7%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 62.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cupid Esports +742
Impact 23.5%
Cupid Esports
2
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +144 Elo
Impact 22%
Cupid Esports
3
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +19.6% expected WR
Impact 14.7%
Cupid Esports
4
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Winthrop University +104
Impact 10.6%
Winthrop University
5
History Depth
Winthrop University +0.683
Impact 10.6%
Winthrop University
6
Win Rate
Cupid Esports +27.6% WR
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 5.2%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Cupid Esports +267
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 3.7%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Cupid Esports +9.9% WR
Impact 2.8%
Cupid Esports
9
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +4 games
Impact 2.4%
Cupid Esports
10
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +33
Impact 1.2%
Cupid Esports
Scouting Report
Winthrop University BLUE
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (74%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)