NACLPlayoffs

Winthrop University vs Cupid Esports - NACL

Winthrop University Winthrop University2-2
VS
4-0Cupid Esports Cupid Esports
Sep 4, 21:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Winthrop University
Cupid Esports
FastTree · free model
Winthrop University29.5% Cupid Esports70.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
Winthrop University
Elo Rating 1432
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 53W - 62L (46.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 38.5%
VS
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1579
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-2)
Overall Record 22W - 9L (71%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 61.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +220 Elo
Impact 27.9%
Cupid Esports
2
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Cupid Esports +126
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 16.3%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +28.1% expected WR
Impact 13.4%
Cupid Esports
4
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +1 games
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 13.2%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cupid Esports +10.3%
Impact 6.2%
Cupid Esports
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cupid Esports +779
Impact 5.8%
Cupid Esports
7
Head-to-Head History
Cupid Esports +23.1% WR
Impact 4.2%
Cupid Esports
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +49
Impact 3.8%
Cupid Esports
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Cupid Esports +0.243
Impact 3.1%
Cupid Esports
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Cupid Esports +0.243
Impact 2.7%
Cupid Esports
Scouting Report
Winthrop University BLUE
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)