NACLPlayoffs

Conviction vs NRG - NACL

Conviction Conviction1-1
VS
1-1NRG NRG
Sep 2, 21:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Conviction
NRG
FastTree · free model
Conviction25.8% NRG74.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Conviction
Elo Rating 1402
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-2)
Overall Record 63W - 46L (57.8%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 37.9%
VS
NRG
Elo Rating 1477
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-2)
Overall Record 30W - 14L (68.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 62.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
NRG +24.2% WR
Impact 21.2%
NRG
2
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
NRG +43
Impact 15.6%
NRG
3
Elo Rating
NRG +114 Elo
Impact 14.7%
NRG
4
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NRG +15.8% expected WR
Impact 14.7%
NRG
5
Win Rate
NRG +10.4% WR
Impact 7.7%
NRG
6
History Depth
Conviction +0.267
Impact 7.6%
Conviction
7
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
NRG +273
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Conviction.
Impact 6.4%
Counts for Conviction The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Conviction +154
Impact 4.9%
Conviction
9
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
NRG +603
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Conviction.
Impact 2.8%
Counts for Conviction The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Streak
Conviction +4 games
Impact 2.6%
Conviction
Scouting Report
Conviction BLUE
Well-rounded profile
NRG RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (68%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output