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Series Predictions
ConvictionNRG
FastTree
· free model
Conviction20.3%
NRG79.7%
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Head-to-Head & Form
ConvictionElo Rating
1432
Tournament Record
1-2
(5-5)
Overall Record
65W - 49L (57%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
39.7%
VS
NRGElo Rating
1442
Tournament Record
2-2
(7-7)
Overall Record
34W - 19L (64.2%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
60.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NRG +123
Impact
31.7%
NRG
2
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Conviction +79
Conviction leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact
14.2%
Counts for NRG
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
H2HWin Rate Weighted
NRG +14.4% WR
Impact
9.8%
NRG
4
Head-to-Head History
NRG +20.6% WR
Impact
9.3%
NRG
5
Elo Rating
NRG +15 Elo
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Conviction.
Impact
8.9%
Counts for Conviction
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
History Depth
Conviction +0.117
Conviction leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact
5.7%
Counts for NRG
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
NRG +193
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Conviction.
Impact
4.3%
Counts for Conviction
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NRG +2.2% expected WR
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Conviction.
Impact
4%
Counts for Conviction
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
NRG +375
Impact
2.7%
NRG
10
Win Streak
Conviction +2 games
Conviction leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact
2.2%
Counts for NRG
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Conviction
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
NRG
RED
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger first tower pressure