NACLPlayoffs

Contingent Esports vs Maryville University - NACL

Contingent Esports Contingent Esports1-2
VS
4-2Maryville University Maryville University
Sep 3, 21:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Contingent Esports
Maryville University
FastTree · free model
Contingent Esports25.2% Maryville University74.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Contingent Esports
Elo Rating 1355
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 11W - 15L (42.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 37.2%
VS
Maryville University
Elo Rating 1454
Tournament Record 4-2 (12-10)
Overall Record 37W - 27L (57.8%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 62.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Maryville University +20% expected WR
Impact 30.2%
Maryville University
2
Elo Rating
Maryville University +147 Elo
Impact 18.1%
Maryville University
3
History Depth
Maryville University +0.567
Impact 9.9%
Maryville University
4
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Maryville University +10
Impact 7.3%
Maryville University
5
Win Streak
Contingent Esports +2 games
Impact 6.7%
Contingent Esports
6
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Maryville University +17.9% WR
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Contingent Esports.
Impact 5.2%
Counts for Contingent Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Win Rate
Maryville University +15.5% WR
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Contingent Esports.
Impact 4.9%
Counts for Contingent Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Maryville University +48
Impact 4.5%
Maryville University
9
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Maryville University +302
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Contingent Esports.
Impact 3.6%
Counts for Contingent Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Maryville University +18.4%
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Contingent Esports.
Impact 2.6%
Counts for Contingent Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Contingent Esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Maryville University RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)