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Series Predictions
Maryville UniversityNRG
FastTree
· free model
Maryville University24.1%
NRG75.9%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Maryville UniversityElo Rating
1454
Tournament Record
4-2
(12-10)
Overall Record
37W - 27L (57.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
56.9%
VS
NRGElo Rating
1442
Tournament Record
2-2
(7-7)
Overall Record
34W - 19L (64.2%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
43.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Maryville University +8
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact
30.1%
Counts for NRG
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
History Depth
Maryville University +0.117
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact
28.9%
Counts for NRG
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
NRG +33.3%
Impact
14.2%
NRG
4
Elo Rating
Maryville University +18 Elo
Impact
4.3%
Maryville University
5
Win Rate
NRG +6.3% WR
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Maryville University.
Impact
3.9%
Counts for Maryville University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Maryville University +0% WR
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact
2.6%
Counts for NRG
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Maryville University +9.7% WR
Impact
2.2%
Maryville University
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NRG +231
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Maryville University.
Impact
2.1%
Counts for Maryville University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Head-to-Head History
Maryville University +13.9% WR
Impact
2%
Maryville University
10
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Maryville University +2.5% expected WR
Impact
1.9%
Maryville University
Scouting Report
Maryville University
BLUE
Better dragon control
NRG
RED
Stronger win record (64%)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)