NACLPlayoffs

Maryville University vs NRG - NACL

Sep 9, 21:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Maryville University
NRG
FastTree · free model
Maryville University27.3% NRG72.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Maryville University
Elo Rating 1420
Tournament Record 2-1 (6-4)
Overall Record 31W - 21L (59.6%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 45.1%
VS
NRG
Elo Rating 1494
Tournament Record 2-1 (6-4)
Overall Record 33W - 16L (67.3%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 54.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NRG +15.4% expected WR
Impact 22.3%
NRG
2
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Maryville University +100
Impact 19.7%
Maryville University
3
Elo Rating
NRG +111 Elo
Impact 12.8%
NRG
4
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
NRG +28.8%
Impact 9.7%
NRG
5
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
NRG +45
Impact 9.1%
NRG
6
Win Rate
NRG +7.7% WR
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Maryville University.
Impact 7.5%
Counts for Maryville University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
NRG +144
Impact 6.4%
NRG
8
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NRG +349
Impact 5.6%
NRG
9
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
NRG +478
Impact 4.8%
NRG
10
Head-to-Head History
NRG +9.8% WR
Impact 1%
NRG
Scouting Report
Maryville University BLUE
Well-rounded profile
NRG RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)