NACLPlayoffs

Maryville University vs Winthrop University - NACL

Maryville University Maryville University3-1
VS
2-1Winthrop University Winthrop University
Sep 10, 21:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Maryville University
Winthrop University
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Maryville University53.8% Winthrop University46.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Maryville University
Elo Rating 1472
Tournament Record 3-1 (9-5)
Overall Record 34W - 22L (60.7%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 48.6%
VS
Winthrop University
Elo Rating 1441
Tournament Record 2-1 (5-4)
Overall Record 51W - 59L (46.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 51.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Win Rate
Maryville University +14.4% WR
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 20.6%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Maryville University +437
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 14.2%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Maryville University +20.3%
Impact 10.4%
Maryville University
4
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Winthrop University +0.07
Impact 8.6%
Winthrop University
5
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Winthrop University +38
Winthrop University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Maryville University.
Impact 8.6%
Counts for Maryville University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Maryville University +252
Impact 7.3%
Maryville University
7
Elo Rating
Maryville University +47 Elo
Impact 6%
Maryville University
8
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Maryville University +6.7% expected WR
Impact 5.1%
Maryville University
9
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Maryville University +28
Impact 5.1%
Maryville University
10
Win Streak
Maryville University +5 games
Impact 5.1%
Maryville University
Scouting Report
Maryville University BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control
Winthrop University RED
Higher first blood rate