CDWeek 1
RED Kalunga Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports - CD
Jul 20, 22:00·Bo1
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Series Predictions
RED Kalunga AcademyEi Nerd Esports
FastTree
· free model
RED Kalunga Academy68.2%
Ei Nerd Esports31.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
RED AcademyElo Rating
1299
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
41W - 31L (56.9%)
Current Streak
6L
H2H Win Rate
47.2%
VS
Ei Nerd EsportsElo Rating
1383
Tournament Record
1-0
(2-0)
Overall Record
11W - 14L (44%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
52.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
History Depth
RED Academy +0.583
Impact
68.1%
RED Academy
2
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Ei Nerd Esports +17.4% expected WR
Impact
7.4%
Ei Nerd Esports
3
Elo Rating
Ei Nerd Esports +126 Elo
Impact
6.9%
Ei Nerd Esports
4
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Ei Nerd Esports +825
Impact
4.8%
Ei Nerd Esports
5
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Ei Nerd Esports +72
Impact
4.7%
Ei Nerd Esports
6
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Ei Nerd Esports +841
Impact
3.1%
Ei Nerd Esports
7
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
RED Academy +34
RED Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Ei Nerd Esports.
Impact
1.8%
Counts for Ei Nerd Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
Ei Nerd Esports +5.5% WR
Impact
1.4%
Ei Nerd Esports
Scouting Report
RED Academy
BLUE
Stronger win record (57%)
Better dragon control
Ei Nerd Esports
RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)