CDWeek 2
RED Kalunga Academy vs Estral Esports - CD
Jul 29, 23:00·Bo1
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Series Predictions
RED Kalunga AcademyEstral Esports


FastTree
· free model
RED Kalunga Academy11.4%
Estral Esports88.6%
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Head-to-Head & Form
RED AcademyElo Rating
1274
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
41W - 31L (56.9%)
Current Streak
6L
H2H Win Rate
36.0%
VS
Estral EsportsElo Rating
1652
Tournament Record
4-0
(10-0)
Overall Record
44W - 14L (75.9%)
Current Streak
19W
H2H Win Rate
64.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Estral Esports +568 Elo
Impact
36.2%
Estral Esports
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Estral Esports +46.3% expected WR
Impact
21.9%
Estral Esports
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Estral Esports +1746
Impact
7.8%
Estral Esports
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Estral Esports +50.4%
Impact
6.8%
Estral Esports
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
RED Academy +653
Impact
6.5%
RED Academy
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Estral Esports +1741
Impact
5.7%
Estral Esports
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Estral Esports +0.114
Impact
3.1%
Estral Esports
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Estral Esports +0.114
Estral Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward RED Academy.
Impact
2.9%
Counts for RED Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
History Depth
RED Academy +0.033
RED Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Estral Esports.
Impact
2.7%
Counts for Estral Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Head-to-Head History
Estral Esports +28.1% WR
Impact
2.3%
Estral Esports
Scouting Report
RED Academy
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Estral Esports
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (76%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output