CDWeek 3

Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports - CD

Estral Esports Estral Esports4-0
VS
1-2Ei Nerd Esports Ei Nerd Esports
Aug 5, 00:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
Estral Esports
Ei Nerd Esports
FastTree · free model
Estral Esports82.3% Ei Nerd Esports17.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Estral Esports
Elo Rating 1652
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-0)
Overall Record 44W - 14L (75.9%)
Current Streak 19W
H2H Win Rate 76.8%
VS
Ei Nerd Esports
Elo Rating 1359
Tournament Record 1-2 (2-5)
Overall Record 11W - 19L (36.7%)
Current Streak 5L
H2H Win Rate 23.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Estral Esports +439 Elo
Impact 22%
Estral Esports
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Estral Esports +287
Impact 18.9%
Estral Esports
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Ei Nerd Esports +0.03
Impact 17.7%
Ei Nerd Esports
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Estral Esports +42.6% expected WR
Impact 15.9%
Estral Esports
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Estral Esports +1333
Impact 6.5%
Estral Esports
6
Head-to-Head History
Estral Esports +53.6% WR
Impact 4.4%
Estral Esports
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Estral Esports +1230
Impact 3.6%
Estral Esports
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Estral Esports +0
Impact 3.5%
Estral Esports
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Estral Esports +44.2%
Impact 2.8%
Estral Esports
10
History Depth
Estral Esports +0.467
Impact 2.5%
Estral Esports
Scouting Report
Estral Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (76%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Ei Nerd Esports RED
Well-rounded profile