CDWeek 1

Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - CD

Jul 21, 00:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
Estral Esports
paiN Gaming Academy
FastTree · free model
Estral Esports72.8% paiN Gaming Academy27.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Estral Esports
Elo Rating 1652
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-0)
Overall Record 44W - 14L (75.9%)
Current Streak 19W
H2H Win Rate 46.1%
VS
paiN Gaming Academy
Elo Rating 1362
Tournament Record 0-2 (1-5)
Overall Record 24W - 21L (53.3%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 53.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Estral Esports +436 Elo
Impact 26.5%
Estral Esports
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Estral Esports +225
Impact 17.8%
Estral Esports
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Estral Esports +42.5% expected WR
Impact 16.3%
Estral Esports
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Estral Esports +0.093
Estral Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward paiN Gaming Academy.
Impact 9.2%
Counts for paiN Gaming Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Estral Esports +1184
Impact 7.3%
Estral Esports
6
Head-to-Head History
paiN Gaming Academy +7.9% WR
paiN Gaming Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Estral Esports.
Impact 5%
Counts for Estral Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Estral Esports +1110
Impact 4.4%
Estral Esports
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Estral Esports +0
Impact 4.2%
Estral Esports
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Estral Esports +23.8%
Impact 3.8%
Estral Esports
10
History Depth
Estral Esports +0.217
Impact 3%
Estral Esports
Scouting Report
Estral Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (76%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
paiN Gaming Academy RED
Well-rounded profile