LESWeek 1
Barça Esports vs Heretics Academy - LES
Jul 16, 17:30·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Barça EsportsHeretics Academy
FastTree
· free model
Barça Esports14.5%
Heretics Academy85.5%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Barca eSportsElo Rating
1518
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
144W - 129L (52.7%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
31.5%
VS
Team Heretics AcademyElo Rating
1654
Tournament Record
0-1
(2-3)
Overall Record
61W - 30L (67%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
68.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Team Heretics Academy +204 Elo
Impact
30.2%
Team Heretics Academy
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Heretics Academy +26.3% expected WR
Impact
16.6%
Team Heretics Academy
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Heretics Academy +412
Team Heretics Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Barca eSports.
Impact
14.5%
Counts for Barca eSports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Heretics Academy +10.8%
Impact
11.4%
Team Heretics Academy
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Heretics Academy +64
Impact
6.6%
Team Heretics Academy
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Team Heretics Academy +365
Impact
4%
Team Heretics Academy
7
Head-to-Head History
Team Heretics Academy +36.9% WR
Impact
3.4%
Team Heretics Academy
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Heretics Academy +0.238
Impact
3.2%
Team Heretics Academy
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Barca eSports +0
Barca eSports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics Academy.
Impact
2.7%
Counts for Team Heretics Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
History Depth
Barca eSports +0
Barca eSports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics Academy.
Impact
2.2%
Counts for Team Heretics Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Barca eSports
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Heretics Academy
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure