LESWeek 3

LUA Gaming vs Heretics Academy - LES

LUA Gaming LUA Gaming
VS
0-1Heretics Academy Heretics Academy
Jul 29, 15:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LUA Gaming
Heretics Academy
FastTree · free model
LUA Gaming8.7% Heretics Academy91.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
LUA Gaming
Elo Rating 1310
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 30W - 48L (38.5%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 29.0%
VS
Team Heretics Academy
Elo Rating 1654
Tournament Record 0-1 (2-3)
Overall Record 61W - 30L (67%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 71.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Team Heretics Academy +45.1% expected WR
Impact 31.2%
Team Heretics Academy
2
Elo Rating
Team Heretics Academy +516 Elo
Impact 23%
Team Heretics Academy
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Heretics Academy +29.6%
Impact 10.8%
Team Heretics Academy
4
Win Streak
Team Heretics Academy +3 games
Team Heretics Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LUA Gaming.
Impact 8.7%
Counts for LUA Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Team Heretics Academy +939
Impact 5.5%
Team Heretics Academy
6
Head-to-Head History
Team Heretics Academy +42.1% WR
Impact 4.1%
Team Heretics Academy
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Heretics Academy +727
Impact 3.2%
Team Heretics Academy
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Team Heretics Academy +30
Impact 2.8%
Team Heretics Academy
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Team Heretics Academy +642
Impact 2.3%
Team Heretics Academy
10
History Depth
LUA Gaming +0
LUA Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics Academy.
Impact 2.2%
Counts for Team Heretics Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
LUA Gaming BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Team Heretics Academy RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Better vision control