LESWeek 1
Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça Esports - LES
Jul 15, 17:30·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Movistar KOI FénixBarça Esports


FastTree
· free model
Movistar KOI Fénix68.3%
Barça Esports31.7%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOI FenixElo Rating
1667
Tournament Record
2-0
(6-3)
Overall Record
64W - 30L (68.1%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
73.1%
VS
Barca eSportsElo Rating
1518
Tournament Record
0-1
(0-3)
Overall Record
144W - 129L (52.7%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
26.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI Fenix +379
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Barca eSports.
Impact
27.5%
Counts for Barca eSports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI Fenix +223 Elo
Impact
22.5%
Movistar KOI Fenix
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI Fenix +28.3% expected WR
Impact
11.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI Fenix +124
Impact
7.9%
Movistar KOI Fenix
5
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI Fenix +46.2% WR
Impact
6.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI Fenix +0
Impact
5.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Movistar KOI Fenix +0.174
Impact
5.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI Fenix +7.2%
Impact
3.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
9
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Movistar KOI Fenix +40% WR
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Barca eSports.
Impact
2.6%
Counts for Barca eSports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
Movistar KOI Fenix +15.3% WR
Impact
2.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI Fenix
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (68%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Barca eSports
RED
Well-rounded profile