LESWeek 5

Barça Esports vs UB Alma Mater - LES

Barça Esports Barça Esports0-1
VS
UB Alma Mater UB Alma Mater
Aug 12, 15:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Barça Esports
UB Alma Mater
FastTree · free model
Barça Esports80.3% UB Alma Mater19.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Barca eSports
Elo Rating 1518
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 144W - 129L (52.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 69.8%
VS
UB Alma Mater
Elo Rating 1217
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 5W - 29L (14.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 30.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Barca eSports +453 Elo
Impact 26.1%
Barca eSports
2
Win Streak
Barca eSports +0 games
Barca eSports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UB Alma Mater.
Impact 17.7%
Counts for UB Alma Mater The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Barca eSports +289
Impact 16.3%
Barca eSports
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Barca eSports +43.1% expected WR
Impact 13.8%
Barca eSports
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Barca eSports +1154
Impact 7.3%
Barca eSports
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Barca eSports +0.054
Impact 4.6%
Barca eSports
7
Head-to-Head History
Barca eSports +39.7% WR
Impact 4.3%
Barca eSports
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Barca eSports +33.1%
Impact 3.4%
Barca eSports
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Barca eSports +829
Impact 3%
Barca eSports
10
History Depth
Barca eSports +0.433
Impact 1.9%
Barca eSports
Scouting Report
Barca eSports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (53%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
UB Alma Mater RED
Well-rounded profile