LESWeek 4

UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix - LES

UCAM Esports Club UCAM Esports Club1-1
VS
2-0Movistar KOI Fénix Movistar KOI Fénix
Aug 5, 17:30·Bo3

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Series Predictions
UCAM Esports Club
Movistar KOI Fénix
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
UCAM Esports Club47.4% Movistar KOI Fénix52.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
UCAM Esports
Elo Rating 1622
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-3)
Overall Record 88W - 66L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 42.6%
VS
Movistar KOI Fenix
Elo Rating 1667
Tournament Record 2-0 (6-3)
Overall Record 64W - 30L (68.1%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 57.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Movistar KOI Fenix +40% WR
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UCAM Esports.
Impact 47.4%
Counts for UCAM Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Movistar KOI Fenix +10.9% WR
Impact 7.8%
Movistar KOI Fenix
3
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
UCAM Esports +26
UCAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact 5.5%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Movistar KOI Fenix +185
Impact 5.3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
5
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI Fenix +67 Elo
Impact 4.7%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI Fenix +26
Impact 3.7%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Opponent Avg Elo
UCAM Esports +0
UCAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact 3.7%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
UCAM Esports +163
UCAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact 3%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI Fenix +9.5% expected WR
Impact 3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Movistar KOI Fenix +0.104
Impact 2.9%
Movistar KOI Fenix
Scouting Report
UCAM Esports BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Movistar KOI Fenix RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (68%)
Stronger first tower pressure