LESWeek 3

UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club - LES

UB Alma Mater UB Alma Mater
VS
1-1UCAM Esports Club UCAM Esports Club
Jul 28, 15:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
UB Alma Mater
UCAM Esports Club
FastTree · free model
UB Alma Mater16.7% UCAM Esports Club83.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
UB Alma Mater
Elo Rating 1217
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 5W - 29L (14.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 28.5%
VS
UCAM Esports
Elo Rating 1622
Tournament Record 1-1 (4-3)
Overall Record 88W - 66L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 71.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
UCAM Esports +47.1% expected WR
Impact 29.1%
UCAM Esports
2
Elo Rating
UCAM Esports +609 Elo
Impact 23.5%
UCAM Esports
3
Win Streak
UCAM Esports +2 games
UCAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UB Alma Mater.
Impact 18.5%
Counts for UB Alma Mater The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
UCAM Esports +1722
Impact 7.9%
UCAM Esports
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
UCAM Esports +40.9%
Impact 4.4%
UCAM Esports
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
UCAM Esports +1371
Impact 3.9%
UCAM Esports
7
Head-to-Head History
UCAM Esports +43% WR
Impact 3.5%
UCAM Esports
8
History Depth
UCAM Esports +0.433
Impact 2%
UCAM Esports
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
UB Alma Mater +56
UB Alma Mater leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UCAM Esports.
Impact 1.7%
Counts for UCAM Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
UCAM Esports +42.4% WR
Impact 1.6%
UCAM Esports
Scouting Report
UB Alma Mater BLUE
Well-rounded profile
UCAM Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output