LESWeek 2

LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - LES

LUA Gaming LUA Gaming
VS
UB Alma Mater UB Alma Mater
Jul 21, 15:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LUA Gaming
UB Alma Mater
FastTree · free model
LUA Gaming88.6% UB Alma Mater11.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
LUA Gaming
Elo Rating 1310
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 30W - 48L (38.5%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 69.8%
VS
UB Alma Mater
Elo Rating 1217
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 5W - 29L (14.7%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 30.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LUA Gaming +19.1% expected WR
Impact 17.7%
LUA Gaming
2
Elo Rating
LUA Gaming +140 Elo
Impact 13.8%
LUA Gaming
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LUA Gaming +92
Impact 13.2%
LUA Gaming
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LUA Gaming +14.3%
Impact 9.7%
LUA Gaming
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LUA Gaming +627
Impact 9.3%
LUA Gaming
6
Head-to-Head History
LUA Gaming +39.7% WR
Impact 6.9%
LUA Gaming
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LUA Gaming +484
LUA Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UB Alma Mater.
Impact 6.9%
Counts for UB Alma Mater The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Opponent Avg Elo
LUA Gaming +0
Impact 6.2%
LUA Gaming
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
LUA Gaming +125
Impact 5.9%
LUA Gaming
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
UB Alma Mater +0.164
Impact 2.9%
UB Alma Mater
Scouting Report
LUA Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (38%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
UB Alma Mater RED
Well-rounded profile