LESWeek 1

LUA Gaming vs FALKE ESPORTS - LES

LUA Gaming LUA Gaming
VS
FALKE ESPORTS FALKE ESPORTS
Jul 14, 15:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
LUA Gaming
FALKE ESPORTS
FastTree · free model
LUA Gaming63.6% FALKE ESPORTS36.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
LUA Gaming
Elo Rating 1310
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 30W - 48L (38.5%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 58.1%
VS
Falke Esports
Elo Rating 1186
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 4W - 29L (12.1%)
Current Streak 13L
H2H Win Rate 41.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
LUA Gaming +381
LUA Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Falke Esports.
Impact 31.6%
Counts for Falke Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
LUA Gaming +187 Elo
Impact 21.1%
LUA Gaming
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
LUA Gaming +124
Impact 10.8%
LUA Gaming
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
LUA Gaming +24.5% expected WR
Impact 10.3%
LUA Gaming
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
LUA Gaming +13.7%
Impact 7.7%
LUA Gaming
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Falke Esports +0.106
Impact 4.9%
Falke Esports
7
Head-to-Head History
LUA Gaming +16.3% WR
Impact 4.3%
LUA Gaming
8
Opponent Avg Elo
LUA Gaming +0
Impact 3.6%
LUA Gaming
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
LUA Gaming +563
Impact 2.1%
LUA Gaming
Scouting Report
LUA Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (38%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Falke Esports RED
Well-rounded profile