LESPlayoffs
Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix - LES
Aug 20, 16:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Heretics AcademyMovistar KOI Fénix
FastTree
· free model
Heretics Academy43.6%
Movistar KOI Fénix56.4%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Team Heretics AcademyElo Rating
1654
Tournament Record
0-1
(2-3)
Overall Record
61W - 30L (67%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
43.4%
VS
Movistar KOI FenixElo Rating
1667
Tournament Record
2-0
(6-3)
Overall Record
64W - 30L (68.1%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
56.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Movistar KOI Fenix +40% WR
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Heretics Academy.
Impact
26.7%
Counts for Team Heretics Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Team Heretics Academy +0.065
Impact
16.9%
Team Heretics Academy
3
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Team Heretics Academy +378
Team Heretics Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact
9.7%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Win Rate
Movistar KOI Fenix +1.1% WR
Impact
8.5%
Movistar KOI Fenix
5
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI Fenix +13.1% WR
Impact
6.4%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI Fenix +2.8% expected WR
Impact
4.7%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Team Heretics Academy +3
Team Heretics Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact
4.2%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Team Heretics Academy +0
Team Heretics Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact
3.4%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI Fenix +19 Elo
Impact
3.3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
10
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Movistar KOI Fenix +13.1% WR
Impact
3.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
Scouting Report
Team Heretics Academy
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Movistar KOI Fenix
RED
Stronger first tower pressure