TCLPlay-Ins

DIA Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - TCL

Jul 29, 17:30·Bo3
Series Predictions
DIA Ozarox Esports
Team Phoenix
FastTree · free model
DIA Ozarox Esports78.8% Team Phoenix21.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Ozarox Esports
Elo Rating 1424
Tournament Record 2-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 15W - 16L (48.4%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 53.0%
VS
Team Phoenix
Elo Rating 1333
Tournament Record 1-4 (3-10)
Overall Record 8W - 28L (22.2%)
Current Streak 6L
H2H Win Rate 47.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Ozarox Esports +137 Elo
Impact 23.7%
Ozarox Esports
2
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Ozarox Esports +93
Impact 17.8%
Ozarox Esports
3
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Ozarox Esports +248
Impact 14.1%
Ozarox Esports
4
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Ozarox Esports +18.7% expected WR
Impact 13.9%
Ozarox Esports
5
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Ozarox Esports +0.102
Ozarox Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Phoenix.
Impact 4.9%
Counts for Team Phoenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Head-to-Head History
Ozarox Esports +6.1% WR
Ozarox Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Phoenix.
Impact 4.8%
Counts for Team Phoenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Team Phoenix +22.6%
Team Phoenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Ozarox Esports.
Impact 4.4%
Counts for Ozarox Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Rate
Ozarox Esports +26.2% WR
Ozarox Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Phoenix.
Impact 4.2%
Counts for Team Phoenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
History Depth
Team Phoenix +0.083
Team Phoenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Ozarox Esports.
Impact 3.2%
Counts for Ozarox Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Ozarox Esports +117
Ozarox Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Team Phoenix.
Impact 2.7%
Counts for Team Phoenix The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Ozarox Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (48%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Team Phoenix RED
Well-rounded profile