TCLPlayoffs

Avella SU Esports vs PCIFIC Esports - TCL

Avella SU Esports Avella SU Esports3-3
VS
5-2PCIFIC Esports PCIFIC Esports
Aug 25, 15:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Avella SU Esports
PCIFIC Esports
FastTree · free model
Avella SU Esports60.7% PCIFIC Esports39.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
SU Esports
Elo Rating 1498
Tournament Record 3-3 (11-11)
Overall Record 38W - 39L (49.4%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 49.1%
VS
PCIFIC Esports
Elo Rating 1557
Tournament Record 5-2 (14-8)
Overall Record 42W - 37L (53.2%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 50.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors SU Esports. PCIFIC Esports leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors SU Esports anyway. The rows below are the PCIFIC Esports edges the model weighs against, not reasons SU Esports is ahead.
1
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
PCIFIC Esports +20% WR
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 60.7%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
PCIFIC Esports +88 Elo
Impact 6.4%
PCIFIC Esports
3
Opponent Avg Elo
SU Esports +0
SU Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward PCIFIC Esports.
Impact 5.3%
Counts for PCIFIC Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
PCIFIC Esports +39
Impact 4.8%
PCIFIC Esports
5
Win Rate
PCIFIC Esports +3.8% WR
Impact 4.7%
PCIFIC Esports
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
PCIFIC Esports +72
Impact 4.4%
PCIFIC Esports
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
SU Esports +53
SU Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward PCIFIC Esports.
Impact 3.1%
Counts for PCIFIC Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
PCIFIC Esports +106
Impact 2.4%
PCIFIC Esports
9
Win Streak
PCIFIC Esports +5 games
Impact 2%
PCIFIC Esports
10
H2HWin Rate Weighted
PCIFIC Esports +1.7% WR
Impact 1.8%
PCIFIC Esports
Scouting Report
SU Esports BLUE
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
PCIFIC Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher first blood rate