TCLPlayoffs

PCIFIC Esports vs Avella SU Esports - TCL

PCIFIC Esports PCIFIC Esports5-2
VS
3-3Avella SU Esports Avella SU Esports
Sep 3, 15:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
PCIFIC Esports
Avella SU Esports
FastTree · free model
PCIFIC Esports35.8% Avella SU Esports64.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
PCIFIC Esports
Elo Rating 1546
Tournament Record 5-2 (14-8)
Overall Record 40W - 36L (52.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 50.9%
VS
SU Esports
Elo Rating 1498
Tournament Record 3-3 (11-11)
Overall Record 38W - 39L (49.4%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 49.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
SU Esports +371
Impact 32.2%
SU Esports
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
PCIFIC Esports +36
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 24.8%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Win Rate
PCIFIC Esports +3.3% WR
Impact 11%
PCIFIC Esports
4
Elo Rating
PCIFIC Esports +71 Elo
Impact 6.8%
PCIFIC Esports
5
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
PCIFIC Esports +0% WR
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 3.9%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
PCIFIC Esports +10.1% expected WR
Impact 3.8%
PCIFIC Esports
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
SU Esports +79
Impact 3.3%
SU Esports
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
PCIFIC Esports +43
Impact 3.2%
PCIFIC Esports
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
PCIFIC Esports +75
Impact 3.2%
PCIFIC Esports
10
Opponent Avg Elo
PCIFIC Esports +0
Impact 1.8%
PCIFIC Esports
Scouting Report
PCIFIC Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher first blood rate
SU Esports RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)