TCLPlayoffs

PCIFIC Esports vs Avella SU Esports - TCL

PCIFIC Esports PCIFIC Esports5-1
VS
3-3Avella SU Esports Avella SU Esports
Sep 3, 15:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
PCIFIC Esports
Avella SU Esports
FastTree · free model
PCIFIC Esports33.6% Avella SU Esports66.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
PCIFIC Esports
Elo Rating 1583
Tournament Record 5-1 (14-5)
Overall Record 38W - 31L (55.1%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 50.9%
VS
SU Esports
Elo Rating 1505
Tournament Record 3-3 (11-11)
Overall Record 33W - 33L (50%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 49.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
SU Esports +528
Impact 24.8%
SU Esports
2
Elo Rating
PCIFIC Esports +116 Elo
Impact 24.5%
PCIFIC Esports
3
Recent Win Rate Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
PCIFIC Esports +60% WR
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 19.3%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
PCIFIC Esports +59
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 9.7%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Rate
PCIFIC Esports +5.1% WR
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 6.5%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
SU Esports +0.015
Impact 3.4%
SU Esports
7
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
PCIFIC Esports +59
Impact 3.2%
PCIFIC Esports
8
Head-to-Head History
PCIFIC Esports +1.8% WR
Impact 2.8%
PCIFIC Esports
9
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
SU Esports +155
Impact 2.6%
SU Esports
10
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
PCIFIC Esports +23
Impact 2.2%
PCIFIC Esports
Scouting Report
PCIFIC Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (55%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher first blood rate
SU Esports RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)