NLCSwiss

DMG Esports vs Absolved - NLC

DMG Esports DMG Esports4-3
VS
1-3Absolved Absolved
Aug 12, 18:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
DMG Esports
Absolved
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
DMG Esports
Elo Rating 1337
Tournament Record 4-3 (7-6)
Overall Record 36W - 49L (42.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 64.4%
VS
Absolved
Elo Rating 1300
Tournament Record 1-3 (2-6)
Overall Record 2W - 6L (25%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 35.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
DMG Esports +83
DMG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Absolved.
Impact 20.6%
Counts for Absolved The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
DMG Esports +137 Elo
Impact 19.5%
DMG Esports
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
DMG Esports +18.8% expected WR
Impact 12%
DMG Esports
4
Win Rate
DMG Esports +17.4% WR
Impact 10.7%
DMG Esports
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
DMG Esports +605
Impact 7.9%
DMG Esports
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
DMG Esports +363
Impact 6.1%
DMG Esports
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
DMG Esports +927
Impact 5.5%
DMG Esports
8
Opponent Avg Elo
DMG Esports +0
Impact 4.6%
DMG Esports
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
DMG Esports +0.099
Impact 2.3%
DMG Esports
10
Head-to-Head History
DMG Esports +28.7% WR
Impact 2.1%
DMG Esports
Scouting Report
DMG Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (42%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Absolved RED
Higher first blood rate