NLCPlayoffs

Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - NLC

Deer Gaming Deer Gaming5-2
VS
4-3DMG Esports DMG Esports
Aug 24, 16:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Deer Gaming
DMG Esports
FastTree · free model
Deer Gaming64.8% DMG Esports35.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Deer Gaming
Elo Rating 1429
Tournament Record 5-2 (11-7)
Overall Record 24W - 20L (54.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 64.0%
VS
DMG Esports
Elo Rating 1337
Tournament Record 4-3 (7-6)
Overall Record 36W - 49L (42.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 36.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Deer Gaming +33
Deer Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward DMG Esports.
Impact 35.1%
Counts for DMG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Deer Gaming +57 Elo
Impact 12.8%
Deer Gaming
3
Win Rate
Deer Gaming +12.2% WR
Impact 11.6%
Deer Gaming
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Deer Gaming +8.1% expected WR
Impact 7.1%
Deer Gaming
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Deer Gaming +64
Impact 5.7%
Deer Gaming
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Deer Gaming +0
Impact 4.6%
Deer Gaming
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Deer Gaming +181
Impact 4.5%
Deer Gaming
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
DMG Esports +391
DMG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Deer Gaming.
Impact 3.3%
Counts for Deer Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
DMG Esports +410
DMG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Deer Gaming.
Impact 2.9%
Counts for Deer Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Deer Gaming +17.5%
Impact 2.8%
Deer Gaming
Scouting Report
Deer Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (55%)
Stronger first tower pressure
DMG Esports RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)