NLCPlayoffs

Bulldog Esports vs Deer Gaming - NLC

Bulldog Esports Bulldog Esports4-4
VS
5-2Deer Gaming Deer Gaming
Sep 2, 16:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Bulldog Esports
Deer Gaming
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Bulldog Esports48.9% Deer Gaming51.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Bulldog Esports
Elo Rating 1406
Tournament Record 4-4 (9-10)
Overall Record 41W - 47L (46.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 50.5%
VS
Deer Gaming
Elo Rating 1429
Tournament Record 5-2 (11-7)
Overall Record 24W - 20L (54.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 49.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Bulldog Esports +20% WR
Impact 44.7%
Bulldog Esports
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bulldog Esports +385
Bulldog Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Deer Gaming.
Impact 10.3%
Counts for Deer Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Deer Gaming +4.9% expected WR
Impact 6%
Deer Gaming
4
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Bulldog Esports +189
Bulldog Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Deer Gaming.
Impact 5.1%
Counts for Deer Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo Rating
Deer Gaming +34 Elo
Impact 4.7%
Deer Gaming
6
History Depth
Bulldog Esports +0.267
Impact 4.2%
Bulldog Esports
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Deer Gaming +0.003
Impact 3.9%
Deer Gaming
8
Win Rate
Deer Gaming +8% WR
Impact 3.8%
Deer Gaming
9
Head-to-Head History
Bulldog Esports +1% WR
Bulldog Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Deer Gaming.
Impact 3.7%
Counts for Deer Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Deer Gaming +291
Impact 3.2%
Deer Gaming
Scouting Report
Bulldog Esports BLUE
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Deer Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (55%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)