NLCPlayoffs

DMG Esports vs Verdant - NLC

DMG Esports DMG Esports4-3
VS
7-2Verdant Verdant
Sep 2, 18:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
DMG Esports
Verdant
FastTree · free model
DMG Esports35.0% Verdant65.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
DMG Esports
Elo Rating 1337
Tournament Record 4-3 (7-6)
Overall Record 36W - 49L (42.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 27.4%
VS
Verdant
Elo Rating 1517
Tournament Record 7-2 (17-6)
Overall Record 91W - 51L (64.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 72.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Verdant +180 Elo
Impact 27.8%
Verdant
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Verdant +310
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward DMG Esports.
Impact 17.1%
Counts for DMG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Verdant +23.8% expected WR
Impact 14%
Verdant
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Verdant +18.7%
Impact 11.4%
Verdant
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Verdant +48
Impact 6.4%
Verdant
6
Head-to-Head History
Verdant +45.1% WR
Impact 6.1%
Verdant
7
Win Streak
DMG Esports +0 games
Impact 5.6%
DMG Esports
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Verdant +0.159
Impact 3.7%
Verdant
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Verdant +73
Impact 2.4%
Verdant
10
Win Rate
Verdant +21.7% WR
Impact 2%
Verdant
Scouting Report
DMG Esports BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Verdant RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure