NLCPlayoffs

Verdant vs Deer Gaming - NLC

Sep 9, 16:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Verdant
Deer Gaming
FastTree · free model
Verdant76.9% Deer Gaming23.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Verdant
Elo Rating 1517
Tournament Record 7-2 (17-6)
Overall Record 91W - 51L (64.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 66.0%
VS
Deer Gaming
Elo Rating 1429
Tournament Record 5-2 (11-7)
Overall Record 24W - 20L (54.5%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 34.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Verdant +67
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Deer Gaming.
Impact 25.6%
Counts for Deer Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Verdant +9.5% WR
Impact 17.5%
Verdant
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Verdant +813
Impact 13%
Verdant
4
Opponent Avg Elo
Verdant +0.142
Impact 6.4%
Verdant
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Deer Gaming +117
Deer Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Verdant.
Impact 6.3%
Counts for Verdant The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Verdant +355
Impact 5.7%
Verdant
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Verdant +231
Impact 5.1%
Verdant
8
Elo Rating
Verdant +124 Elo
Impact 5%
Verdant
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Verdant +0.142
Impact 3.4%
Verdant
10
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Verdant +17.1% expected WR
Impact 3.1%
Verdant
Scouting Report
Verdant BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Deer Gaming RED
Well-rounded profile