NACLWeek 5

Conviction vs CCG Esports - NACL

Conviction Conviction1-1
VS
CCG Esports CCG Esports
Aug 13, 00:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Conviction
CCG Esports
FastTree · free model
Conviction67.8% CCG Esports32.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Conviction
Elo Rating 1402
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-2)
Overall Record 63W - 46L (57.8%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 66.4%
VS
CCG Esports
Elo Rating 1370
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 44W - 43L (50.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 33.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
Conviction +32.8% WR
Conviction leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CCG Esports.
Impact 32.2%
Counts for CCG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Conviction +47 Elo
Impact 10.3%
Conviction
3
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Conviction +6.7% expected WR
Impact 10.2%
Conviction
4
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Conviction +25
Impact 9.6%
Conviction
5
Win Streak
Conviction +4 games
Impact 8.5%
Conviction
6
Win Rate
Conviction +7.2% WR
Impact 7.2%
Conviction
7
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Conviction +480
Impact 6.1%
Conviction
8
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Conviction +404
Impact 5.5%
Conviction
9
History Depth
Conviction +1
Impact 5.4%
Conviction
10
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Conviction +53
Impact 3.3%
Conviction
Scouting Report
Conviction BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
CCG Esports RED
Well-rounded profile