NACLWeek 4

NRG vs Cupid Esports - NACL

NRG NRG2-2
VS
4-0Cupid Esports Cupid Esports
Aug 6, 00:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
NRG
Cupid Esports
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
NRG
Elo Rating 1442
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 34W - 19L (64.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 63.8%
VS
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1579
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-2)
Overall Record 22W - 9L (71%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 36.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +206 Elo
Impact 16.7%
Cupid Esports
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
NRG +33.3%
Impact 16%
NRG
3
Head-to-Head History
NRG +27.6% WR
Impact 12.4%
NRG
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +26.6% expected WR
Impact 11.2%
Cupid Esports
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NRG +83
Impact 10.5%
NRG
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Cupid Esports +0.33
Impact 9.9%
Cupid Esports
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cupid Esports +145
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NRG.
Impact 8.1%
Counts for NRG The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
NRG +29
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact 5.1%
Counts for Cupid Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +78
Impact 2.7%
Cupid Esports
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Cupid Esports +0.33
Impact 2.6%
Cupid Esports
Scouting Report
NRG BLUE
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better dragon control