NACLWeek 3

Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - NACL

Maryville University Maryville University4-2
VS
4-0Cupid Esports Cupid Esports
Jul 31, 21:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Maryville University
Cupid Esports
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
Maryville University
Elo Rating 1454
Tournament Record 4-2 (12-10)
Overall Record 37W - 27L (57.8%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 26.6%
VS
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1579
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-2)
Overall Record 22W - 9L (71%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 73.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +188 Elo
Impact 21.5%
Cupid Esports
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Maryville University +0%
Impact 16.7%
Maryville University
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cupid Esports +181
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Maryville University.
Impact 15.1%
Counts for Maryville University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Cupid Esports +0.281
Impact 8.7%
Cupid Esports
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +24.7% expected WR
Impact 8.3%
Cupid Esports
6
Head-to-Head History
Cupid Esports +46.8% WR
Impact 7.6%
Cupid Esports
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +63
Impact 6.5%
Cupid Esports
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cupid Esports +36
Impact 3.7%
Cupid Esports
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cupid Esports +394
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Maryville University.
Impact 2.1%
Counts for Maryville University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Win Rate
Cupid Esports +13.2% WR
Impact 2.1%
Cupid Esports
Scouting Report
Maryville University BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Cupid Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)