NACLWeek 4

Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - NACL

Blue Otter Blue Otter
VS
2-2Winthrop University Winthrop University
Aug 5, 21:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Blue Otter
Winthrop University
FastTree · free model
Blue Otter33.5% Winthrop University66.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
Blue Otter
Elo Rating 1268
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 30W - 54L (35.7%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 35.8%
VS
Winthrop University
Elo Rating 1432
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 53W - 62L (46.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 64.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Winthrop University +246 Elo
Impact 25.3%
Winthrop University
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Winthrop University +4
Winthrop University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Blue Otter.
Impact 21%
Counts for Blue Otter The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Winthrop University +30.5% expected WR
Impact 11%
Winthrop University
4
Win Streak
Blue Otter +1 games
Impact 9.2%
Blue Otter
5
Head-to-Head History
Winthrop University +28.4% WR
Impact 8%
Winthrop University
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Winthrop University +0.078
Impact 5.6%
Winthrop University
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Winthrop University +358
Impact 4.7%
Winthrop University
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Winthrop University +81
Impact 4.1%
Winthrop University
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Winthrop University +0.078
Impact 3.1%
Winthrop University
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Winthrop University +20% WR
Winthrop University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Blue Otter.
Impact 3%
Counts for Blue Otter The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Blue Otter BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Winthrop University RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (46%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger first tower pressure