NACLWeek 3

Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - NACL

Blue Otter Blue Otter
VS
1-2Contingent Esports Contingent Esports
Jul 30, 00:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Blue Otter
Contingent Esports
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
Blue Otter
Elo Rating 1268
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 30W - 54L (35.7%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 44.0%
VS
Contingent Esports
Elo Rating 1355
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 11W - 15L (42.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 56.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Contingent Esports +131 Elo
Impact 8.9%
Contingent Esports
2
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Contingent Esports +92
Impact 8.6%
Contingent Esports
3
Win Rate
Contingent Esports +6.6% WR
Impact 5.8%
Contingent Esports
4
Opponent Avg Elo
Contingent Esports +0.012
Impact 5.6%
Contingent Esports
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Contingent Esports +53
Impact 4.5%
Contingent Esports
6
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Contingent Esports +351
Impact 3.6%
Contingent Esports
7
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Contingent Esports +18% expected WR
Impact 3.4%
Contingent Esports
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Contingent Esports +387
Impact 3.2%
Contingent Esports
9
Head-to-Head History
Contingent Esports +12% WR
Impact 2.4%
Contingent Esports
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Blue Otter +1.2%
Blue Otter leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Contingent Esports.
Impact 1.4%
Counts for Contingent Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Blue Otter BLUE
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Contingent Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (42%)
Higher damage output
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control