NACLWeek 5

Ole Miss Esports vs Cupid Esports - NACL

Ole Miss Esports Ole Miss Esports0-2
VS
4-0Cupid Esports Cupid Esports
Aug 12, 21:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
Ole Miss Esports
Cupid Esports
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
Ole Miss
Elo Rating 1290
Tournament Record 0-2 (1-5)
Overall Record 7W - 12L (36.8%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 35.9%
VS
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1579
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-2)
Overall Record 22W - 9L (71%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 64.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +434 Elo
Impact 32.3%
Cupid Esports
2
Win Streak
Ole Miss +0 games
Impact 26.1%
Ole Miss
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +42.4% expected WR
Impact 13.6%
Cupid Esports
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cupid Esports +22.7%
Impact 6.4%
Cupid Esports
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cupid Esports +980
Impact 6.3%
Cupid Esports
6
Head-to-Head History
Cupid Esports +28.2% WR
Impact 3.9%
Cupid Esports
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +20
Impact 3.8%
Cupid Esports
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Cupid Esports +0.372
Impact 1.9%
Cupid Esports
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Cupid Esports +0.372
Impact 1.8%
Cupid Esports
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Cupid Esports +277
Impact 1.5%
Cupid Esports
Scouting Report
Ole Miss BLUE
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)