LCK CLWeek 13

NS Challengers vs T1 Esports Academy - LCK CL

NS Challengers NS Challengers1-2
VS
3-0T1 Esports Academy T1 Esports Academy
Aug 21, 05:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
NS Challengers
T1 Esports Academy
FastTree · free model
NS Challengers34.6% T1 Esports Academy65.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nongshim Esports Academy
Elo Rating 1450
Tournament Record 1-2 (6-8)
Overall Record 63W - 49L (56.3%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 51.0%
VS
T1 Esports Academy
Elo Rating 1722
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-2)
Overall Record 159W - 98L (61.9%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 49.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
T1 Esports Academy +407 Elo
Impact 26.8%
T1 Esports Academy
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
T1 Esports Academy +5.8%
T1 Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim Esports Academy.
Impact 12%
Counts for Nongshim Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
T1 Esports Academy +41.2% expected WR
Impact 11.6%
T1 Esports Academy
4
Head-to-Head History
Nongshim Esports Academy +2% WR
Nongshim Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward T1 Esports Academy.
Impact 10.6%
Counts for T1 Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
T1 Esports Academy +40
T1 Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim Esports Academy.
Impact 9.9%
Counts for Nongshim Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Nongshim Esports Academy +0.042
Nongshim Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward T1 Esports Academy.
Impact 7.8%
Counts for T1 Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Nongshim Esports Academy +166
Impact 7.1%
Nongshim Esports Academy
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
T1 Esports Academy +298
T1 Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim Esports Academy.
Impact 2.8%
Counts for Nongshim Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Win Rate
T1 Esports Academy +5.6% WR
T1 Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim Esports Academy.
Impact 2.7%
Counts for Nongshim Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
T1 Esports Academy +120
Impact 2.5%
T1 Esports Academy
Scouting Report
Nongshim Esports Academy BLUE
Higher first blood rate
Better dragon control
T1 Esports Academy RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation