Aug 24, 05:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
DNS ChallengersKRX Challengers
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
DNS Challengers46.1%
KRX Challengers53.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
DN SOOPers ChallengersElo Rating
1482
Tournament Record
2-1
(8-5)
Overall Record
58W - 47L (55.2%)
Current Streak
3W
H2H Win Rate
66.6%
VS
KRX ChallengersElo Rating
1368
Tournament Record
0-2
(0-6)
Overall Record
47W - 39L (54.7%)
Current Streak
6L
H2H Win Rate
33.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
DN SOOPers Challengers +170 Elo
Impact
32.8%
DN SOOPers Challengers
2
Recent Win Rate
Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
DN SOOPers Challengers +60% WR
DN SOOPers Challengers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward KRX Challengers.
Impact
15.5%
Counts for KRX Challengers
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
DN SOOPers Challengers +77
Impact
9.9%
DN SOOPers Challengers
4
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
KRX Challengers +244
Impact
9.6%
KRX Challengers
5
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
KRX Challengers +230
KRX Challengers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward DN SOOPers Challengers.
Impact
9.2%
Counts for DN SOOPers Challengers
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
DN SOOPers Challengers +0.133
Impact
7.4%
DN SOOPers Challengers
7
Win Streak
DN SOOPers Challengers +9 games
DN SOOPers Challengers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward KRX Challengers.
Impact
4%
Counts for KRX Challengers
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
DN SOOPers Challengers +9.6%
Impact
3.6%
DN SOOPers Challengers
9
H2HWin Rate Weighted
DN SOOPers Challengers +33.2% WR
Impact
3%
DN SOOPers Challengers
10
Head-to-Head History
DN SOOPers Challengers +33.2% WR
Impact
2.4%
DN SOOPers Challengers
Scouting Report
DN SOOPers Challengers
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Better dragon control
KRX Challengers
RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)