Aug 31, 08:30·Bo5
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Series Predictions
NS ChallengersDNS Challengers
FastTree
· free model
NS Challengers68.7%
DNS Challengers31.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nongshim Esports AcademyElo Rating
1457
Tournament Record
1-2
(6-8)
Overall Record
64W - 49L (56.6%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
52.6%
VS
DN SOOPers ChallengersElo Rating
1460
Tournament Record
2-2
(9-8)
Overall Record
59W - 50L (54.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
47.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors DN SOOPers Challengers. Nongshim Esports Academy leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors DN SOOPers Challengers anyway. The rows below are the Nongshim Esports Academy edges the model weighs against, not reasons DN SOOPers Challengers is ahead.
1
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Nongshim Esports Academy +373
Nongshim Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward DN SOOPers Challengers.
Impact
36.4%
Counts for DN SOOPers Challengers
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Nongshim Esports Academy +458
Impact
26.8%
Nongshim Esports Academy
3
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Nongshim Esports Academy +0.043
Impact
12.8%
Nongshim Esports Academy
4
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Nongshim Esports Academy +124
Nongshim Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward DN SOOPers Challengers.
Impact
10.4%
Counts for DN SOOPers Challengers
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Nongshim Esports Academy +7.9%
Nongshim Esports Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward DN SOOPers Challengers.
Impact
4.6%
Counts for DN SOOPers Challengers
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Head-to-Head History
Nongshim Esports Academy +5.2% WR
Impact
3.3%
Nongshim Esports Academy
7
Elo Rating
DN SOOPers Challengers +5 Elo
DN SOOPers Challengers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim Esports Academy.
Impact
2.5%
Counts for Nongshim Esports Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Nongshim Esports Academy +5.2% WR
Impact
1.4%
Nongshim Esports Academy
9
Win Streak
DN SOOPers Challengers +2 games
DN SOOPers Challengers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim Esports Academy.
Impact
1.3%
Counts for Nongshim Esports Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Nongshim Esports Academy
BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
DN SOOPers Challengers
RED
Well-rounded profile