LFLWeek 2

TLN Pirates vs Skillcamp - LFL

Jul 28, 16:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Skillcamp
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates72.3% Skillcamp27.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1647
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 51.4%
VS
Skillcamp
Elo Rating 1500
Tournament Record 2-2 (4-6)
Overall Record 38W - 65L (36.9%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 48.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Skillcamp +231
Impact 27.7%
Skillcamp
2
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +220 Elo
Impact 23.1%
TLN Pirates
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +28% expected WR
Impact 12.6%
TLN Pirates
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +132
Impact 12.4%
TLN Pirates
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
TLN Pirates +12.2%
Impact 6.1%
TLN Pirates
6
Head-to-Head History
TLN Pirates +2.8% WR
Impact 6%
TLN Pirates
7
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0
Impact 5.2%
TLN Pirates
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
TLN Pirates +286
Impact 1.9%
TLN Pirates
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.339
Impact 1.7%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Better dragon control
Skillcamp RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)