LFLWeek 3

Galions vs Esprit Shonen - LFL

Galions Galions4-0
VS
Esprit Shonen Esprit Shonen
Aug 4, 17:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
Galions
Esprit Shonen
FastTree · free model
Galions86.2% Esprit Shonen13.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Galions
Elo Rating 1809
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-1)
Overall Record 155W - 75L (67.4%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 69.7%
VS
Esprit Shonen
Elo Rating 1340
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 52W - 42L (55.3%)
Current Streak 11L
H2H Win Rate 30.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +703 Elo
Impact 24.4%
Galions
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +48.3% expected WR
Impact 15%
Galions
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Galions +235
Impact 14.8%
Galions
4
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Galions +237
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 13.8%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +1768
Impact 7.3%
Galions
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Galions +0.424
Impact 6.7%
Galions
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +29.3%
Impact 5.3%
Galions
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +1648
Impact 4.6%
Galions
9
Head-to-Head History
Galions +39.4% WR
Impact 3.4%
Galions
10
History Depth
Galions +0
Impact 1.8%
Galions
Scouting Report
Galions BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Esprit Shonen RED
Well-rounded profile