LFLWeek 2

Solary vs Esprit Shonen - LFL

Jul 29, 18:00·Bo1
Series Predictions
Solary
Esprit Shonen
FastTree · free model
Solary83.9% Esprit Shonen16.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
Solary
Elo Rating 1625
Tournament Record 1-2 (3-5)
Overall Record 98W - 60L (62%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 63.1%
VS
Esprit Shonen
Elo Rating 1340
Tournament Record
Overall Record 52W - 42L (55.3%)
Current Streak 11L
H2H Win Rate 36.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Solary +1373
Impact 31.9%
Solary
2
Elo Rating
Solary +427 Elo
Impact 25.3%
Solary
3
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Solary +166
Impact 13.2%
Solary
4
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Solary +42.1% expected WR
Impact 7.9%
Solary
5
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Solary +601
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 5.8%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Solary +0.355
Impact 2.8%
Solary
7
Win Rate
Solary +6.7% WR
Impact 2.7%
Solary
8
Head-to-Head History
Solary +26.2% WR
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 2.6%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
History Depth
Solary +1
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 2.3%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Solary +28.2%
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 1.7%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Solary BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Esprit Shonen RED
Well-rounded profile