LFLWeek 2

Solary vs Esprit Shonen - LFL

Solary Solary1-2
VS
Esprit Shonen Esprit Shonen
Jul 29, 18:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
Solary
Esprit Shonen
FastTree · free model
Solary84.6% Esprit Shonen15.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
Solary
Elo Rating 1780
Tournament Record 1-2 (3-5)
Overall Record 125W - 69L (64.4%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 61.5%
VS
Esprit Shonen
Elo Rating 1340
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 52W - 42L (55.3%)
Current Streak 11L
H2H Win Rate 38.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Solary +659 Elo
Impact 27.6%
Solary
2
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Solary +4.6% WR
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 15.4%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Solary +47.8% expected WR
Impact 13.3%
Solary
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Solary +212
Impact 12.5%
Solary
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Solary +30.7%
Impact 9.3%
Solary
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Solary +1397
Impact 5.3%
Solary
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Solary +0.452
Impact 4.8%
Solary
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Solary +1070
Impact 4%
Solary
9
Head-to-Head History
Solary +23% WR
Impact 2.2%
Solary
10
History Depth
Solary +0
Impact 1.7%
Solary
Scouting Report
Solary BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Esprit Shonen RED
Well-rounded profile