LFLWeek 2

TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shonen - LFL

TLN Pirates TLN Pirates3-2
VS
Esprit Shonen Esprit Shonen
Jul 30, 20:00·Bo1
Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Esprit Shonen
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates80.2% Esprit Shonen19.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1609
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 37W - 29L (56.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 70.1%
VS
Esprit Shonen
Elo Rating 1340
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 52W - 42L (55.3%)
Current Streak 11L
H2H Win Rate 29.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +404 Elo
Impact 25.3%
TLN Pirates
2
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +141
Impact 14.3%
TLN Pirates
3
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
TLN Pirates +579
Impact 13.8%
TLN Pirates
4
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
TLN Pirates +654
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 10.8%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +41.1% expected WR
Impact 9.7%
TLN Pirates
6
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0.433
Impact 7.4%
TLN Pirates
7
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.433
Impact 5.6%
TLN Pirates
8
History Depth
TLN Pirates +1
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 2.9%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
TLN Pirates +226
Impact 2.7%
TLN Pirates
10
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
TLN Pirates +966
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 2.4%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Better vision control
Esprit Shonen RED
Stronger first tower pressure