LFLWeek 2

TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shonen - LFL

TLN Pirates TLN Pirates3-2
VS
Esprit Shonen Esprit Shonen
Jul 30, 20:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Esprit Shonen
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates77.3% Esprit Shonen22.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1647
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 68.1%
VS
Esprit Shonen
Elo Rating 1340
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 52W - 42L (55.3%)
Current Streak 11L
H2H Win Rate 31.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +460 Elo
Impact 23.1%
TLN Pirates
2
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
TLN Pirates +174
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact 21.9%
Counts for Esprit Shonen The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
TLN Pirates +21.7%
Impact 12.9%
TLN Pirates
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +43.4% expected WR
Impact 11.4%
TLN Pirates
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +155
Impact 10%
TLN Pirates
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
TLN Pirates +969
Impact 6%
TLN Pirates
7
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0.481
Impact 5.1%
TLN Pirates
8
Head-to-Head History
TLN Pirates +36.2% WR
Impact 3%
TLN Pirates
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.481
Impact 1.3%
TLN Pirates
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
TLN Pirates +314
Impact 1.3%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Better vision control
Esprit Shonen RED
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure