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Series Predictions
SolaryGalions
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
Solary47.6%
Galions52.4%
Head-to-Head & Form
SolaryElo Rating
1625
Tournament Record
1-2
(3-5)
Overall Record
98W - 60L (62%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
59.8%
VS
GalionsElo Rating
1769
Tournament Record
4-0
(10-1)
Overall Record
132W - 68L (66%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
40.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +216 Elo
Impact
25.1%
Galions
2
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +0.1%
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
19.2%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +296
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
13.1%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +27.6% expected WR
Impact
11.6%
Galions
5
Win Rate
Galions +4% WR
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
11.3%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Solary +0
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact
4.5%
Counts for Galions
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Galions +86
Impact
4%
Galions
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +596
Impact
2.9%
Galions
9
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Galions +60% WR
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
2.8%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Galions +0.014
Impact
1.6%
Galions
Scouting Report
Solary
BLUE
Better vision control
Galions
RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)