LFLWeek 3

TLN Pirates vs Galions - LFL

TLN Pirates TLN Pirates3-2
VS
4-0Galions Galions
Aug 5, 16:00·Bo1
Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Galions
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates16.9% Galions83.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1609
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 37W - 29L (56.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 27.7%
VS
Galions
Elo Rating 1769
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-1)
Overall Record 132W - 68L (66%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 72.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +240 Elo
Impact 36.3%
Galions
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +29.9% expected WR
Impact 19%
Galions
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +5.8%
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact 11.7%
Counts for TLN Pirates The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +771
Impact 9.1%
Galions
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +851
Impact 7%
Galions
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Galions +81
Impact 5.4%
Galions
7
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact 3.6%
Counts for Galions The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Streak
Galions +2 games
Impact 1.9%
Galions
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.064
Impact 1.8%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Galions RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output