LFLWeek 3

TLN Pirates vs Galions - LFL

TLN Pirates TLN Pirates3-2
VS
4-0Galions Galions
Aug 5, 16:00·Bo1
Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Galions
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates16.9% Galions83.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1609
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 37W - 29L (56.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 27.7%
VS
Galions
Elo Rating 1769
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-1)
Overall Record 132W - 68L (66%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 72.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +240 Elo
Impact 37.3%
Galions
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +29.9% expected WR
Impact 15.5%
Galions
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +5.8%
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact 13.6%
Counts for TLN Pirates The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +851
Impact 9.4%
Galions
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +771
Impact 5.5%
Galions
6
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact 5.3%
Counts for Galions The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Win Streak
Galions +2 games
Impact 4.2%
Galions
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Galions +81
Impact 3.5%
Galions
9
Win Rate
Galions +9.9% WR
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact 2%
Counts for TLN Pirates The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
TLN Pirates +454
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact 1.4%
Counts for Galions The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Galions RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output