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Series Predictions
TLN PiratesGalions
FastTree
· free model
TLN Pirates25.5%
Galions74.5%
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Head-to-Head & Form
TLN PiratesElo Rating
1647
Tournament Record
3-2
(8-8)
Overall Record
46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
28.8%
VS
GalionsElo Rating
1809
Tournament Record
4-0
(10-1)
Overall Record
155W - 75L (67.4%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
71.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +243 Elo
Impact
29.5%
Galions
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +30.2% expected WR
Impact
16.4%
Galions
3
Head-to-Head History
Galions +42.4% WR
Impact
7.7%
Galions
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +7.7%
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
7.4%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Rate
Galions +9.9% WR
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
6.8%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact
6%
Counts for Galions
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +730
Impact
4.9%
Galions
8
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Galions +122
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
4.2%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Galions +20% WR
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
4%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +897
Impact
3.8%
Galions
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Galions
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output