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Series Predictions
Karmine Corp BlueGalions
FastTree
· free model
Karmine Corp Blue27.7%
Galions72.3%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Karmine Corp BlueElo Rating
1700
Tournament Record
3-2
(9-5)
Overall Record
136W - 84L (61.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
42.2%
VS
GalionsElo Rating
1809
Tournament Record
4-0
(10-1)
Overall Record
155W - 75L (67.4%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
57.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +264 Elo
Impact
23.1%
Galions
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +32% expected WR
Impact
13.3%
Galions
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Galions +0.063
Impact
10.7%
Galions
4
Head-to-Head History
Galions +15.7% WR
Impact
10.2%
Galions
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Karmine Corp Blue +0
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact
8.8%
Counts for Galions
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +4.3%
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
7.6%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp Blue +701
Impact
7.3%
Karmine Corp Blue
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +498
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
6.3%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +430
Galions leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
4.3%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Galions +96
Impact
3.5%
Galions
Scouting Report
Karmine Corp Blue
BLUE
Better vision control
Galions
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output